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Trading Talk – King George Horse Racing
Some consider the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes to be the pinnacle of the UK flat racing season where the best three-year-olds take on their elders over the classic 1m4f trip. Horse racing spread betting fans have not been disappointed in recent years, with some truly amazing horses coming to the fore. Buyers of whoever Aidan O’Brien sends over on the Sporting Index race index will be hoping he can become the first trainer since Goldolphin’s Saeed Bin Suroor in 1999 to win three back-to-back King Georges. Spread bettors will be interested to learn that the Irish have a formidable recent record in this race with O’Brien and man of the moment John Oxx winning four of the last six renewals between them. Sea The Stars would have been miles in front in all of the Sporting Index markets, but it’s now been confirmed the dual-Classic winner won’t take his chance
Since Godolphin’s purple patch at the end of the 90’s, English-based trainers haven’t had the best of it in the King George, with raiders from Ireland and France winning seven of the last nine races. Those who like to go against three-year-olds on the spreads in these big, classy contests will be encouraged that all of the last five King George victors have been aged four, as have seven of the last nine. However, these figures are slightly misleading as a number of trainers have avoided the race with three-year-olds in recent years and you only have to go back to the mid-80’s, where seven of the eight winners between 1985-92 were from the minimum age group. Alamshar was the last three-year-old to win the race in 2003 and there could be a few younger horses turn up this time around.
Those spread punters who like to sell SP’s with <a href='http://www.sportingindex.com' rel='tag'>Sporting Index</a> will be licking their lips when they hear about the fortunes of favourites in the King George over the past decade. The biggest priced winner has been 13/2 and all of the last five jollies have won at odds between 4/6 and 5/2, whilst seven of the last nine have been successful – four at odds-on. It’s a not a race for the outsiders, although Duke Of Marmalade was pushed to just half a length by 14/1 Papal Bull last year. The winning distance market is interesting as spread bettors might expect there to have been some very close finishes in recent times, but actually seven of the last ten winners have won by at least 1 ¼ lengths, with four winning by 3 lengths or more.
With Sea The Stars out of the race, there will be plenty of <a href='http://www.sportingindex.com' rel='tag'>spread betting</a> punters looking to get fired into the Sporting Index win index. The likely favourite Conduit will have plenty of supporters having won the St Leger and Breeders Cup Turf, but followers of him on the spreads will be concerned that he’s only won once going right-handed and four times the other way round. Look Here, who was third behind Conduit in the Leger when seemingly failing to stay, looks set to try to become the first filly to win the race since Time Charter in 1983.
Dover - King George
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